Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 46.504896 53.714238 61.158389 69.382357 78.177933 87.270554 97.348783
2026-02-08 35.323314 45.449404 56.475502 69.216670 83.390078 98.545587 115.854456
2026-02-15 28.251807 39.743397 52.794152 68.383504 86.205949 105.693542 128.375723
2026-02-22 23.914164 36.462743 51.245700 69.392399 90.589165 114.161818 141.983874
2026-03-01 20.676015 34.020569 50.277270 70.712584 95.016808 122.420452 155.125181
2026-03-08 17.008567 30.565495 47.712007 69.817689 96.600134 127.217672 164.158034
2026-03-15 13.684657 27.134215 44.843617 68.270310 97.174371 130.656453 171.467547
2026-03-22 12.606228 26.673271 45.677873 71.216369 103.068056 140.248921 185.834222
2026-03-29 11.177544 25.521923 45.476851 72.759792 107.184083 147.695431 197.668583
2026-04-05 9.239860 23.346906 43.722565 72.178573 108.584843 151.839439 205.576566
2026-04-12 7.583855 21.377463 42.089336 71.626520 109.921808 155.830726 213.242151
2026-04-19 6.426082 20.068536 41.279898 72.076859 112.451315 161.210686 222.513515
2026-04-26 5.129353 18.311862 39.716531 71.462654 113.619248 164.959339 229.896035
2026-05-03 4.134121 16.932050 38.606822 71.391532 115.432716 169.466904 238.171477
2026-05-10 3.140429 15.314541 36.995734 70.526443 116.145137 172.565343 244.708582
2026-05-17 2.616613 14.609096 36.763004 71.555725 119.299369 178.664102 254.855057
2026-05-24 2.208603 14.080830 36.770761 72.897608 122.846035 185.240526 265.576512
2026-05-31 1.565077 12.709914 35.268858 71.987733 123.357731 187.990649 271.619158
2026-06-07 0.985813 11.196555 33.379964 70.414036 122.912199 189.487442 276.090754
2026-06-14 0.926606 11.414458 34.560582 73.409941 128.632528 198.776492 290.121897
2026-06-21 0.752865 11.127561 34.800743 74.979103 132.412573 205.606621 301.135939
2026-06-28 0.460875 10.125800 33.646039 74.388221 133.219898 208.639422 307.461319
2026-07-05 0.249817 9.201320 32.547273 73.826956 134.029727 211.649315 313.739291